Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 14.512334 16.942241 19.591703 22.686987 26.195379 30.039878 34.562568
2025-04-27 11.155332 14.664050 18.880376 24.278150 30.958397 38.905087 49.018954
2025-05-04 8.819607 12.753618 17.858762 24.871935 34.143913 45.858649 61.635081
2025-05-11 7.048344 11.075514 16.658635 24.797637 36.160760 51.235807 72.473331
2025-05-18 5.666781 9.610686 15.416151 24.338888 37.404970 55.484318 81.949449
2025-05-25 4.608474 8.397257 14.293908 23.805716 38.345738 59.230772 90.849246
2025-06-01 3.778919 7.375797 13.277233 23.236073 39.073199 62.607531 99.332019
2025-06-08 3.009419 6.300674 11.996026 22.047893 38.664772 64.184768 105.182502
2025-06-15 2.728339 6.043367 12.027996 22.968750 41.607064 70.964750 119.183351
2025-06-22 2.419228 5.673037 11.801783 23.403461 43.758940 76.619346 131.756461
2025-06-29 2.046160 5.102264 11.125305 22.953838 44.355701 79.795354 140.579836
2025-07-06 1.695730 4.507125 10.311919 22.145384 44.228123 81.733121 147.470989
2025-07-13 1.576980 4.427039 10.548610 23.424523 48.076955 90.828615 167.104852
2025-07-20 1.471885 4.365575 10.830197 24.853775 52.385237 101.105667 189.532901
2025-07-27 1.307690 4.122910 10.690300 25.423264 55.140019 108.879114 208.209285
2025-08-03 1.121355 3.776539 10.263533 25.341249 56.625273 114.484342 223.458882
2025-08-10 0.940966 3.397164 9.693826 24.872748 57.286666 118.612367 236.316938
2025-08-17 0.786060 3.046206 9.127741 24.329302 57.724454 122.323080 248.601243
2025-08-24 0.654728 2.726892 8.580604 23.748816 58.011609 125.737238 260.499725
2025-08-31 0.520181 2.351063 7.812486 22.537961 56.828688 126.217610 266.957443
2025-09-07 0.483457 2.304043 7.927459 23.476400 60.383603 136.167633 291.715115
2025-09-14 0.434000 2.194906 7.848433 23.919378 62.869878 144.129648 313.071440
2025-09-21 0.365064 1.985699 7.438353 23.461204 63.270562 147.895159 326.509733